Newcastle United hosts Chelsea in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Newcastle United is coming off a 2-0 road loss against AFC Bournemouth on November 11 while Chelsea had a 4-4 home draw against Manchester City on November 12.
Newcastle United is in seventh place in the Premier League standings with 20 points in 12 games while Chelsea is in 10th place with 16 points in 12 games.
The player to watch in this game is Miguel Almirón, who has two goals and zero assists in 12 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Miguel Almirón a 31.74 percent chance to score against Chelsea. He has 20 SCA and 2 GCA in 12 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Newcastle United 2.55
• Chelsea 2.65
• Draw: 3.55
Spread
• Newcastle United 0 (1.83)
• Chelsea 0 (1.91)
Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.98)
• Under 2.5, 3 (1.78)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 28 and the game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Projected Leaders
For Newcastle United, Miguel Almirón has a 31.74 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.26 shots overall per sim, 0.61 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.
For Chelsea, Nicolas Jackson has a 24.16 percent chance to score. He averages 1.21 shots overall per sim, 0.7 shots on goal per and 0.27 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Newcastle United 2.55
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Newcastle United in this one. Average score in simulations is Newcastle United 1.4 to Chelsea 0.78.
